IRS Staffing Shortage: Should You Try to Owe Less Next Year?

TL;DR: With fewer IRS workers processing refunds due to staffing cuts, experts suggest aiming to owe less on your taxes next year. This could lead to faster processing and fewer headaches.

Last updated: September 27, 2026

You might have heard the buzz: tax experts are advising people to aim to owe money to the IRS next year, rather than expecting a refund. This unusual advice stems from significant staffing cuts impacting the agency's ability to process returns and issue refunds efficiently. The core of this recommendation lies in the sheer volume of work and the reduced workforce available to handle it. With approximately 31,000 fewer workers now on the job, the IRS faces a substantial backlog. This means that if you are due a refund, it could take considerably longer to receive it. So, what does this mean for you? If you're typically someone who receives a refund, you might be wondering if it's worth changing your tax withholding. The idea is that by adjusting your W-4 form to have less withheld from each paycheck, you'll end up owing a small amount when you file. This strategy could help you avoid being caught in the extended refund delays. Conversely, if you generally owe taxes, this situation might not significantly change your experience, though the overall processing times for all tax matters could be affected. The key takeaway is to anticipate potential delays, regardless of whether you're expecting a refund or preparing to pay. For homeowners in Denver facing tax-related issues, particularly those involving potential tax debt or complex filings, it's crucial to work with qualified professionals. When seeking assistance, consider asking licensed, insured tax pros questions like: 'How will current IRS processing times affect my specific situation?' and 'What strategies can I use to potentially reduce my tax liability next year given these IRS challenges?' This proactive approach can help you navigate the complexities. If you're in Denver and concerned about tax debt or navigating these IRS changes, seeking guidance from a licensed, insured tax professional is a wise step. They can help you understand your options and plan effectively for the upcoming tax season.

Based on reporting by moneywise.com. This is an original TaxRelief Direct summary — full details at the source.